Skip to comments.
SARS genome maps seen aiding tests, treatments
Washington Times ^
| Friday, May 2, 2003
| By Amy Fagan
Posted on 05/01/2003 10:44:14 PM PDT by JohnHuang2
Edited on 07/12/2004 4:02:56 PM PDT by Jim Robinson.
[history]
Two sequences of the SARS virus's genetic structure have been reviewed by experts and published in the journal Science, providing key assistance to researchers as they try to develop vaccines, treatments and tests for the respiratory illness that has spread worldwide.
(Excerpt) Read more at washtimes.com ...
TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: sars
To: JohnHuang2
There are too many huge unknowns with this virus, too many variables; I sincerely doubt that there will be a vaccine that will be effective.
To: JohnHuang2
SARS Mortality Rates Based on World Health Organization daily tables (Revised: 5/02am) |
Area |
Recoveries to date |
Deaths to date |
Recent** Death Rate |
|
Active Cases still in Danger |
Projected Future Deaths |
Projected Cumulative Mortality |
Hong Kong |
832 |
162 |
17.6% |
|
604 |
100 |
16.4% |
Singapore |
143 |
25 |
19.4% |
|
33 |
6 |
15.6% |
China |
1351 |
170 |
38.2% |
|
2117 |
809 |
26.9% |
Canada |
87 |
20 |
20.0% |
|
40 |
8 |
19.0% |
elsewhere [26 countries] |
148 |
14 |
9.8% |
|
117 |
11 |
9.1% |
World-wide [all 30 countries] |
2563 |
391 |
|
|
2911 |
934 |
22.6% |
** ( Deaths in the last 7 days) / ( Deaths + Recoveries in the last 7 days) |
Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger |
Date |
Hong Kong |
Singapore |
China |
Canada |
elsewhere 26 countries |
World-wide all 30 countries |
Apr 19 |
914 |
61 |
307 |
62 |
|
1616 |
Apr 20 |
893 |
64 |
497 |
65 |
|
1694 |
Apr 21 (est.) |
872 |
66 |
686 |
66 |
|
1771 |
Apr 22 |
874 |
60 |
708 |
61 |
80 |
1783 |
Apr 23 |
831 |
58 |
968 |
62 |
86 |
2005 |
Apr 24 |
812 |
55 |
1058 |
58 |
76 |
2059 |
Apr 25 |
781 |
50 |
1209 |
51 |
78 |
2169 |
Apr 26 |
774 |
51 |
1346 |
47 |
86 |
2304 |
Apr 27 (est.) |
738 |
45 |
1415 |
47 |
98 |
2336 |
Apr 28 |
709 |
39 |
1484 |
47 |
108 |
2387 |
Apr 29 |
663 |
38 |
1833 |
40 |
108 |
2682 |
Apr 30 |
641 |
38 |
1969 |
41 |
132 |
2821 |
May 1 |
604 |
33 |
2117 |
40 |
117 |
2911 |
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery) |
Observations:
- China had another VERY BAD day...
- They resolved 40 existing cases (but 53% of those by death)
- Then gained almost 5 times as many NEW CASES (+187)
- ...there is no glimmer of improvement yet in China.
- The projected Cumulative Mortality for all cases is now at
a record high, thanks to China ... 22.6%!
Here is a COOL " Interactive guide - The spread of Sars"
To: blam; Judith Anne; jonathonandjennifer; Mr. Mulliner; Prince Charles; Dog Gone; thinktwice; ...
SARS Rate/Trend chart update ping
To: FL_engineer
WOW! This is getting worse and worse.
I also have a feeling the numbers we get from China are not fully accurate and the mortality rate there may be even higher, than what they are admitting.
This is starting to reach the 30% mortality rate that smallpox has. Also there were those articles about relapses and that even people who were considered and non-relapsed, continued to have the virus ( it was found in their elimination products).
http://www.startribune.com/stories/1556/3859751.html Officials worry that recovered SARS patients might spread virus
Rob Stein and DeNeen Brown, Washington Post
Published May 2, 2003 SARS02
Some SARS patients who were thought to have recovered might continue to shed the virus, raising the possibility that they may be able to spread the disease, officials said Thursday.
Researchers in Hong Kong said that they had detected evidence of the virus in some people who have not gotten sick and in some who were thought to have recovered and therefore thought no longer be infectious. In addition, officials there confirmed that 12 patients had relapsed.
"Some studies show people do continue to secrete the virus in feces and tears," said Dr. David Heymann of the World Health Organization, who was at a meeting on severe acute respiratory syndrome in Toronto. ". . . There are many more issues to be clarified."
There have been no documented chains of transmission from patients who've been discharged from hospitals.
As the SARS conference was winding down, Canadian health officials announced two new possible cases in Toronto, the first there in 11 days. The cases involved health workers in two hospitals where the disease had spread in the past.
And scientists in Taiwan reported 11 new cases and two additional deaths on Thursday. The scientists added that large numbers of people were being quarantined.
The global death toll rose to 394.
To: FL_engineer
Thank you for the amazing job that you have done to keep track of the stats. It's very useful. Thank again!
6
posted on
05/02/2003 1:28:58 AM PDT
by
FreepForever
(China is the hub of all evil)
To: FL_engineer; Judith Anne
I remember about 2 weeks after the outbreak in Hong Kong, microbiologist in the HK University quickly (early April) came up with a testing agent for SARS. When tested positive, the accuracy is quite high: 90%. However, when tested negative, the accuracy is only 50%.
This is a big dilemma for the doctors. Do you send the patient, which maybe innocent, into the SARS ward and eventually get him infected? Or, do you send the probably guilty patient home and risk infecting the community?
I hope the testing agent they have developed today have significantly improved.
7
posted on
05/02/2003 1:51:02 AM PDT
by
FreepForever
(China is the hub of all evil)
To: FL_engineer
To: FL_engineer
Tahnks
9
posted on
05/02/2003 8:06:05 AM PDT
by
Nov3
To: FL_engineer
Thanks for the ping!
10
posted on
05/02/2003 10:56:47 PM PDT
by
TheLion
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson